Position Ledger

Verified performance tracking for all model positions. Every play is SHA-256 committed pre-match and publicly auditable.

Plays

288

Wins

102

Losses

114

Pushes

72

P/L

+12.59u

ROI

+4.4%

Exp P/L i

+27.05u

Exp ROI i

+9.4%

CLV+ i

47.8%

Closing Line Value

Locked odds vs Pinnacle closing price. Consistently beating the close is the strongest predictor of long-term profitability. Within 2c = push.

CLV+ i

-

Avg CLV i

-

Better

-

Push

-

Worse

-

Drawdown

Rolling drawdown from peak cumulative P/L. Lower is better.

Brier Score + Brier Skill Score

Model calibration across all matches vs Pinnacle opening price. Draws are pushed (excluded) per DNB rules. BSS > 0 means the model outperforms the sharpest bookmaker.

Brier i

-

Pin Brier i

-

BSS i

-

Matches

-

Position Ledger

Closing Line Value

Drawdown

Brier Score + Brier Skill Score

System

Audit Trail

Contact