The Gold Standard for
Asian Football Probability

Proprietary performance model covering 11 leagues across the AFC region. Every position is cryptographically committed before kickoff and publicly auditable.

A-League · Chinese Super League · J.League 1/2/3 · Kazakhstan Premier League · K-League 1/2 · Saudi Pro League · Thai Premier League

AFC Champions League Elite · AFC Champions League 2

This Season:
1,991
Matches Modelled
288
Active Positions
+12.6u
Units P/L
+1.4%
BSS vs Pinnacle
+4.4%
ROI
48%
CLV+ Rate
MatchVeri10ModelPinnacleEdgeScoreTokushima v Ehime7.852.463.35+15.1%0-6Tokyo Verdy v Kashima7.912.393.25+22.2%2-1Yunnan v Shandong7.722.022.73+7.1%4-0

Slate

Today's fair model odds for every match, side-by-side with Pinnacle and comparison books. See where the model finds potential expected value - updated every 10 minutes.

View slate →
0u+10u−10u+6.2uP/LExpected

Ledger

Full performance history - P/L, ROI, CLV, drawdown, and Brier Skill Score. Every position verified against Pinnacle closing lines.

See track record →
Veri10 Form TrackerAl Hilal 8.4Ulsan HD 7.9Yokohama FM 7.6Al-Qadsiah 7.2Melbourne V 5.8Last 3 avg

Lab

Deep analytics - Veri10 ratings, pillar breakdowns, form trends, and performance matrices across all tracked leagues.

Explore the lab →

Value Found. Value Confirmed.

Our best plays - where the model found edge, Pinnacle moved our way, and the result followed.

Yunnan Yukun vs Shandong Taishan
4-0
CHNWIN+1.73u
Model Fair (DNB)
2.27
We Locked (DNB)
2.73
Pin Open (DNB)
2.93
Pin Close (DNB)
2.43
CLV
+12.3%
Yunnan Yukun (backed)8.1
FIN 37.1CRE 60.4PRO 92.6DEF -45.9
Shandong Taishan5.8
FIN 9.6CRE 36.3PRO 80.6DEF -97.5
Al Khaleej vs Al Ettifaq
0-5
KSAWIN+1.30u
Model Fair (DNB)
2.02
We Locked (DNB)
2.30
Pin Open (DNB)
2.32
Pin Close (DNB)
2.08
CLV
+10.6%
Al Khaleej6.4
FIN 12.3CRE 42.8PRO 81.8DEF -112.2
Al Ettifaq (backed)8.1
FIN 48.1CRE 64.1PRO 86.3DEF -55.1
Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima Antlers
2-1
JPNWIN+2.25u
Model Fair (DNB)
2.50
We Locked (DNB)
3.25
Pin Open (DNB)
3.25
Pin Close (DNB)
3.00
CLV
+8.3%
Tokyo Verdy (backed)8.0
FIN 29.5CRE 46.1PRO 30.6DEF -54.7
Kashima Antlers6.5
FIN 15.6CRE 39.1PRO 39.0DEF -75.6

Inside the Engine

From raw match data to locked positions - every step is quantified, gated, and verifiable.

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Raw Data

22 metrics per team per match ingested from Sportmonks - shots, passes, chances, defensive actions across every fixture in 11 leagues.

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Veri10 Pillars

Metrics distilled into Finishing, Creation & Defensive pillars. Each team rated 3.0–10.0 on the Veri10 scale - measuring how well they played, not the scoreline.

Probability Blend

5 signals blended per fixture: Pinnacle market, recent form, season average, home/away splits - weighted by league.

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Adjustments

Real-world context applied: travel distance, continental fatigue, humidity, derbies, table motivation - each shifts the probability toward ground truth.

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9 Lock Gates

Edge band, model-market gap, pillar quality, round completeness - every play must clear 9 independent safeguards before capital is committed.

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EV+ Broadcast

Opportunities of high expected value are pushed to communication channels in real time - Telegram alerts, slate updates, and API feeds the moment a position is confirmed.

🔒SHA-256 committed pre-match
10-minute pipeline refresh

Start making better decisions.

Unlock all positions, model outputs, and real-time Telegram alerts.